Democrats are currently leading Republicans in the RealClearPolling generic congressional average
A blue wave may not be as certain as some polls have predicted, experts warn ahead of Election Day, noting forecasts may be skewed because Trump supporters are notoriously difficult to reach, according to a report.
While current polls paint a positive picture for Democrats ahead of the midterms this November 3 — some pollsters are questioning whether that number may be inflated due to supporters of President Donald Trump being difficult to reach by pollsters, Axios reported.
Polls previously underestimated Trump’s support during the presidential races in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Even though midterm polling is typically more accurate, some still underestimated Republican support in 2022, Scott Keeter, senior survey adviser at Pew Research Center, told Axios.
I’m just so disillusioned with the Dems, I don’t really care anymore. It’s literal nazi’s vs corporate sellouts. They can all get fucked.
I been saying it. Republicans hold all the cards. They will hold onto both houses and maybe pick up a few seats.
If not, they’ll just refuse to seat any Democrats, and take over that way. Either case, we’re fucked.
I have a feeling the voting intention and numbers lean quite strongly blue, but the election will be subverted somehow or as you say, Democrats won’t be seated.
What will happen if it falls?
Democrat old guard will fight it tooth and nail. Vote early so you can hide MAGA momma’s car keys on election day or unhook MAGA dad’s car battery (and disconnect and hide the terminal wires too). Or just relax that day if you’re fortunate enough to not have those types in your life.
I was there in 2016. Ain’t nothing in the bag.
The polling has been very predictive when DJT isn’t on the ballot. That said, I’m not buying the rat poison.
Republicans just really wanna use slurs and dont like seeing queer people in public. They’re quiet right now while the gas prices are high but they’re still gonna vote ref again.
I voted (whether or not it will “get lost” before arriving or somehow be invalid is yet to be seen), and everyone else who can should as well; I don’t care what any pollsters are saying.
In a universe where Donald can win two elections literally anything is possible. His supporters would vote for a wet fart if it was directed at a minority.
No matter what happens, 46+% will not believe it.
Vote as though your life depends on it, because it fucking does!
Turnout is all that matters, and polls anticipate turnout/motivation.
Always be voting for lesser evil! Rural people get luxury gay space communism voting lines. Seniors/evangelicals always turn out. You better believe that evangelicals hold their nose when they vote for Trump, but Armageddon and Israel worship is part of their programming. If you be voting, then your opinions will matter in the future. If not, then you will be safely ignored, because lemme nazis will remind you the only time politics matter to you, that DNC is shit.
Seniors now have -21 net approval of Trump down 24 from Oct 24. They may vote against him.
Rural voters overall have -20 net approval. Down 40 from Oct 24. Rural Republicans still net positive, but 26% disapprove of Trump, and 60% disapprove of Iran war related energy costs. There will be some flips from former, and more abstains from latter.
Show the fuck up. Protest DNC the next day, and organize next primaries or 3rd party.
I don’t think the polls are accounting for all the Republican and Trump voters that simply won’t show up this year. I’ve talked to many that voted for Trump who said to me they ain’t either voting ever again or not this time around.
If they tell the pollsters the same thing, their “likely voter” models pick that up. This is by far record low net approval rates for a President heading to mid terms. Senate needed to stop shenaremovedns.
Did your reply really get censored for saying shenanigans? Someone needs to turn down the auto mod. It’s set to the hyper aggressive setting.
I possibly misspelled with 2 g s . Your version is clockwork oranging my eyes successfully.
There are still way too many people who thing republicans are decent people. Maybe it’s because your mother or father is a republican, but that doesn’t make republicans good it makes your parents horrible.
I live in rural Ohio, the number of signs that are proudly Republican is too damn high.
I’m always amazed, it’ll just be some guys name and then “REPUBLICAN” and that’s the whole sign, like it’s a good thing.
I know, I talk to a few people who say their parents are “true conservatives” that voted Republican but hate donnie and didn’t vote for him (allegedly).
SMH. What the fuck even is a “true conservative”? Just sounds like No True Scotsman stuff.
Leave it to Democrats to fuck up a cost of living mid term with high gas prices and a president in the low 30s approval rating.
This should be the biggest blow out this century.
propaganda works on uneducated people
Nobody is immune. You’re being constantly bombarded and you’re not catching all of it.
there’s no such thing as immune to ideas
there is definitely an inverse correlation between education and voting against your own interests though
Sure, I just want to point out to readers that thoughts like “well it can’t happen to ME” or “they can’t mean ME because I have a degree” is wrong. Education will not shield a person, propaganda doesn’t work exclusively on the uneducated. It was meant more as a cautionary addition to your comment than a retort.
that is fair
Oligarchs are the source of the problem. Citizens United means more money supporting the fascists, and control of almost every media outlet means outright fascist propaganda on the "conservative’ networks, and minimized support for progressives on the “liberal” networks.
Establishment Democrats still give us better returns on human rights compared to the fascists, but they do bow to their oligarchal masters pretty well, yes.
The point is that progressives definitely do not have a majority in the US, much less the supermajority needed to squash fascism.
It’s up to us to deal with our oligarchs and go from there.
It should, but we are surrounded with deeply stupid people stewing in a shit-ton of conservative propaganda.
My optimism for the midterms are bigger than the sun, and smaller than a grain of rice at the same time.
Cool story, go vote.
That’s the moral of the story here. We each control one vote and this is arguably our most important vote in history.
Seems like every vote is the most important vote of my life. I’m getting tired of it.
Yes. Every vote IS the most important one because it’s the one happening right now and is going to affect things in the very near future. I’m getting tired of dirty dishes but I still do them.
What’s that emoji for when a comment makes you laugh then it hits and you kinda get a tear but are also mad at the system but also are tired?
Me too.
The last two DNC picks who lost seemed like they had it in the bag. They also talked about Trump more than they did their own policy.
They’re running the same strategy again.
Yup. Centrists who bitch about “blue no matter who” are wasting their breath. The actual leftists still hold their nose and vote blue anyway. But the things that progressives point out, and that centrists refuse to change, are what cause the centrists to lose their elections. Centrists will bitch about online leftists condemning genocide support, but it wasn’t the progressives that caused Kamala to lose. It was mostly moderate and conservative Muslim voters who simply refused to vote for a genocide supporter.
