Democrats are currently leading Republicans in the RealClearPolling generic congressional average

A blue wave may not be as certain as some polls have predicted, experts warn ahead of Election Day, noting forecasts may be skewed because Trump supporters are notoriously difficult to reach, according to a report.

While current polls paint a positive picture for Democrats ahead of the midterms this November 3 — some pollsters are questioning whether that number may be inflated due to supporters of President Donald Trump being difficult to reach by pollsters, Axios reported.

Polls previously underestimated Trump’s support during the presidential races in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Even though midterm polling is typically more accurate, some still underestimated Republican support in 2022, Scott Keeter, senior survey adviser at Pew Research Center, told Axios.

  • MrVilliam@sh.itjust.works
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    1 day ago

    It’s awfully telling that that’s a scary thing for them. They don’t want to be sentenced to being treated the way that they treat women. They don’t want to be “inferior” people. It’s also why they’re so transphobic. They can’t understand why anybody would ever want to give up being a man to become a woman, so they must be getting something out of it, like probably an unfair advantage in sports or to look at women in locker rooms or something. They’re incapable of really empathizing with anybody whose life experience is different from theirs, even just with people who are still white and cis and hetero, but are women. So non-white and/or non-cis and/or non-hetero just absolutely does not compute. They think that their simple, privileged, suburban or rural experience is what 95% of the country is.

    • CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world
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      1 day ago

      The fear of being similar to a woman drives so much of the manosphere. Looking back on things like Gamergate, it’s very easy to see how many angry young men there were - driven to complete frothing rage because of a woman journalist? I mean, what the fuck are we even doing here?

      But I do think some of it is pretty easy to see - lots of fragile men who no longer do “real jobs”, if they have regular employment at all, and in many cases, they have less education than their female peers. Also, women are not as dependent on them, financially, and so the dating scene seems out of balance to the historic “norm” they think it should be.

      So they resort to all this stupid performative nonsense - and it really is nonsense - performative meat-eating, preparation of meat (smokers, barbeques, grills, etc.) and talking about “protein” all the time is one of the strongest indicators of just how stupid things have become. It serves as a fantastic proxy for a lot of it, if you ask me. Of course, it tends to cluster with other stupid behaviors like driving enormous vehicles modified to “roll coal” on other drivers, bikers, pedestrians, etc. Oh, and of course, performative gun ownership and voting Republican…

      This is supposed to be masculine? Do they know the most petite, fragile and girly of women can do all these things, too?