An unprecedented surge in Black voter turnout across the American South is fundamentally reshaping the 2026 midterm political landscape. This massive, highly localized mobilization is defying traditional non-presidential voting patterns and threatening to turn what was expected to be a standard midterm election cycle into a “Blue Tsunami” for Democrats, breaking open what were previously considered safe Republican strongholds.
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Georgia is expected to go blue for the senate and Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina are all within 10pts. The only only southern states are Florida, Tenessee and Arkansas.
I’m really annoyed that the governor’s race doesn’t seem like it’s in play, since nobody seems to be talking about it.
Wish we had a better candidate than KLB.
Polls show D+0.1 for GA governor. Nate Silver has a 63% D win
I’m glad to hear it, but I’m still worried. Admittedly, I insulate myself from advertising pretty well, but I haven’t heard nearly enough negative about the fascist billionaire candidate. Aside from how it would make it even worse if he won, I almost wish he were a more obvious villain like Greg Abbott or Ron DeSantis.
(Not to mention, as an Atlantan who’s been disappointed with her for a decade, there aren’t nearly as many reasons to vote for Bottoms, as opposed to against Jackson, as I’d like. Still held my nose and early-voted for her, but I can think of half a dozen candidates I would’ve preferred even just drawing from Atlanta city councilpeople.)