Labour are now ahead of Reform in polls from More in Common (28% to 24%) and Survation (26% to 24%). Also YouGov has Labour and Reform on level terms, both at 22%. This is the first time in over a year that Reform has not had a lead over Labour.

Thoughts?

  • AllNewTypeFace@leminal.space
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    3 months ago

    When Starmer was leading Labour, Farage was effectively the PM-in-waiting, the owners’ and right-wing media’s anointed viceroy. Now he suddenly doesn’t want to play this game any more and calls a byelection that only a joke candidate stands against him in (and looks to beat him). Given that Farage was UKIP and that all but disintegrated into a small group of angry cranks when he left, there probably isn’t much hope for a post-Farage Reform UK. The most viable candidates will jump back to the Conservative Party (which, for its fortunes, is a huge, old institution with the inherent buoyancy that that brings), and others may merge into another right-wing fringe party (the Tice mob, the one Morrissey was bigging up, some actual blood-and-soil Nazi death cult Elon Musk donates a few hundred million to, or whatever).

  • Skullgrid@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    It’s horrid that Britain has reached a state where the most popular left wing party gets less than a third and the party snapping at their tails is basically The National Front 2.

    • Aceticon@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      3 months ago

      New Labour is not a leftwing party.

      Under its previous leader it was probably even to the right of center-right.

      Jury is still out on how far to the Right its current leader will keep it.

      • Skullgrid@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        Yes, that’s why we should vote reform or conservative comrade. Let’s help topple the current system and rebuild from the ashes. I have 3 tins of baked beans that will last us during the revolution.

  • GarboDog@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    PLEASE, EVERYONE IN THAT TOWN PLEASE VOTE BIN FACE WE BEG OF YOU THIS WOULD BE THE MOST PEAK AND FUNNIEST SHIT EVER

  • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    Kinda curious to see where that shift is coming from.

    Date N Ref Lab Con LD Grn

    28 Jul 2026|1,012|24%|26%|21%|10%|10%

    24 Jul 2026|1,021|26%|25%|19%|10%|8%

    17 Jul 2026|2,097|24%|24%|21%|11%|11%

    17 Jun 2026|1,003|27%|19%|20%|12%|11%

    Except for Labour, they’re all within margin of error. Looks more like undecides and maybe a few LibDems are coming home to Labour than anything. Greens are depressingly flat, so this clearly isn’t a big shift in ideology.

    I guess just jettisoning Keir Starmer is enough to give Labour a small bounce.

    • tal@lemmy.today
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      3 months ago

      If you’re aiming for a table, you can do a Markdown table like this:

      |Date|N|Ref|Lab|Con|LD|Grn|
      |-|-:|-:|-:|-:|-:|-:|
      |28 Jul 2026|1,012|24%|26%|21%|10%|10%|
      |24 Jul 2026|1,021|26%|25%|19%|10%|8%|
      |17 Jul 2026|2,097|24%|24%|21%|11%|11%|
      |17 Jun 2026|1,003|27%|19%|20%|12%|11%|
      

      Which yields:

      Date N Ref Lab Con LD Grn
      28 Jul 2026 1,012 24% 26% 21% 10% 10%
      24 Jul 2026 1,021 26% 25% 19% 10% 8%
      17 Jul 2026 2,097 24% 24% 21% 11% 11%
      17 Jun 2026 1,003 27% 19% 20% 12% 11%

      The colons in the header line let you right-justify numeric columns, if you really want to be classy.