The Senate, where the GOP holds 53 seats, remains a toss-up, the conservative outlet says

For the first time this year, Fox News is projecting that Democrats will win control of the House of Representatives in November’s midterm elections.

In its latest power rankings Tuesday, the conservative outlet forecast that Democrats are favored to capture 219 seats — one more than the 218 needed for a majority. Republicans were favored in 198 races, while 18 contests remained toss-ups.

“The House is likely out of reach for the GOP this year,” according to the Fox News analysis. “The Democratic Party has enjoyed a lead in the House all year. Now, as another 20 races shift leftward, this forecast sees the Democrats taking control.”

  • altphoto@lemmy.today
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    7 hours ago

    Yes, I’m still voting regardless. I don’t believe anything until I see it. And we gotta do it again two years from now.

  • Pratai@piefed.ca
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    10 hours ago

    Pretend this is psyop propaganda designed to lull you into a false sense of safety-

    AND VOTE ANYWAY.

    • tidderuuf@lemmy.world
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      10 hours ago

      It worked the last 2 elections. It will work again. I would also expect by the end of this election cycle we will hear once again how there are numerous groups forming on social media who helped form “protest” and “single issue” voters.

    • artyom@piefed.social
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      14 hours ago

      Yeah I don’t believe anything else Fox News says, why would I believe them about this? They may just be trying to motivate.

      • Telodzrum@lemmy.world
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        9 hours ago

        Fox News polls are scientifically sound and empirically rigorous. They’ve consistently been one of the most accurate pollsters over the last decade.

      • brem@lemmy.world
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        12 hours ago

        Yes, motivation… which is actually hatred & greed in this case. These “people” would never admit to failure unless it benefits them, it’s a tactic besharted forth to get the fence sitting MAGATs to vote against their better interests so they can “own the Dems”.

          • brem@lemmy.world
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            11 hours ago

            … because if they lose & justice prevails they’ll all face the injustices they have enacted upon the entire world???

            …geeze, buy me a drink first before you get me all turned on like this.

  • mycodesucks@lemmy.world
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    9 hours ago

    Once they take the house and the senate, they can stop all that negative legislation that’s been passing, like…

    uhhh…

    ummmm…

    …don’t get me wrong… everyone should absolutely still vote, but even a massive victory is going to fix fuck all, and we should all be prepared for that.

    • MagicShel@lemmy.zip
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      8 hours ago

      Winning the house and senate would curb the Trump admin considerably. The admin will be playing defense rather than offense and democrats can issue subpoenas. Are we surely going to stop contributing to the Palestinian genocide? Probably not, but there’s a chance the progressive wing could withhold support for key votes and demand concessions — in much the same way the ultra conservative wing of the Republican Party prevented them from passing some of their agenda.

      • king_comrade@lemmy.world
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        8 hours ago

        I just doubt the democrats have the political will to make any real moves other than some symbolic blocks. I think the Dems run a cleaner show but they are functionally very similar to the Republicans. What does their platform even stand for these days?

    • cannedtuna@lemmy.world
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      13 hours ago

      Don’t forget making blue voters think it’s gonna be alright, no need for them to go out and vote, everyone else already has it in hand.

    • Makeitstop@lemmy.world
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      12 hours ago

      More likely to have the opposite effect. Historically speaking, good poll numbers help a candidate and bad poll numbers hurt them. That’s why low quality partisan polls are always boosting their own side’s numbers and not the other guy. Republicans are already far less enthusiastic about voting in the mid terms this year. Telling them their side can’t win is only going to discourage them that much more.

      Fox News is a shit hole run by lying sociopaths, but they do take their political polling seriously. It’s one of the few areas where they have any credibility at all. I wouldn’t be surprised if they’ve been intentionally vague and overly cautious with their analysis of the data so that they can hide some of that potential blue wave in the big pile of toss up races. But you can only fudge things so much without looking incompetent, especially if they have to resort to more obvious methods of tipping the scales.

      Honestly, the actual poll is barely even news at this point. A year and a half ago the conventional wisdom was that the Senate as safely red while the House was going to be tough fight. But for months now the House has been looking like a lost cause for the Republicans, and, especially in the last few weeks, the Senate is looking like an uphill battle for them too. What’s newsworthy here is that Fox is actually reporting it.

    • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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      14 hours ago

      I mean, who is watching FOX religiously and not voting, at this point? It’s the channel of, by, and for conservative GOTV ops.

      I think a better question might be “Who is still watching this channel?” And you’re talking about 2M viewers during the Prime Time peak.

      That’s a rounding error, nationally. And out of a pool that’s already heavily engaged.

      • Duchess@piefed.linenoise.vip
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        14 hours ago

        Fox News still has incredible reach and screens tuned to it all over the place like gyms and barber shops even in my very liberal town. They are experts at the pretense of impartiality and a lot of people fall for it especially the non politically active which is sadly still quite a huge cohort of Americans.

  • kmartburrito@lemmy.world
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    11 hours ago

    Vote vote vote vote vote!

    But only once! Don’t worry, Republicans are the only ones that attempt to do it multiple times.

  • Neon_Carnivore@lemmy.zip
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    11 hours ago

    I don’t care who predicts what, we still have to get our asses out to vote. “The Blue Wave” ain’t real until we make it real.

  • modestmeme@lemmy.world
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    13 hours ago

    If this actually happens and Republicans lose the House by a handful of seats, please don’t call it a “blue wave”…

  • Boomer Humor Doomergod@lemmy.world
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    14 hours ago

    I hate that politics is like fucking sports. Just dumb stats and predictions to fill airspace. And the best part is people who think they’re too smart for sports eat it up.

    • OwOarchist@pawb.social
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      10 hours ago

      “Horse race” political coverage has been an issue for decades. Talking heads going on and on about poll numbers, who’s ahead, who’s behind, etc, etc, while very pointedly not talking about the actual issues at stake in the election.

      Partly that’s because numbers are easier to talk about. Partly it’s because actually talking about the issues would bring up issues that media oligarchs don’t want to talk about and don’t want to give airtime to.

      • Boomer Humor Doomergod@lemmy.world
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        9 hours ago

        And partly because they’ve got 24 hours to fill and not much actually happens in a given day.

        And partly because really good journalism is slow, methodical, boring, and nerdy and it doesn’t sell ad space.

        Fuck this world.