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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 13th, 2023

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  • I mentioned this elsewhere, but I wonder if this will drive Europe towards aligning with China.

    With the Russian economy struggling, many of its oligarchs can either share their insane wealth to prop up the war effort, or they can ask China for help. If Europe were to broker closer ties with China over the US, would they favour growth with Europe over propping up a failed war? Losing its biggest ally might be enough to make Putin decide that it’s simply not worth it, to declare victory, and retreat back.

    Those looking to succeed Putin are also likely looking at how easy it might be to oust an ageing leader, and to do basic shit like revoking a war to rebuild a global economy. I’m not saying that the Kremlin are likely going to rejoin the fold any time soon, but unfucking everything couldn’t be easier.


  • For many, they seek the easiest option.

    They oppose what they’re told is “wrong”. However, tell that person that you could escalate a war that’ll last a generation, or let your friend surrender and die to shut Russia up, they’ll take the option that turns the sad Ukraine news off and puts the attention back on them.

    To the average Trump voter, the government should stfu about Ukraine and Palestine, and focus on the very important fact that things cost too much.


  • For now, I work in AI.

    IMO, using AI to remove jobs is the business equivalent of the Darwin Award. No sane executive will look at AI and see job replacement. A dumb executive will look at AI and see more productivity gains. A smart executive will see AI as a way to improve tooling for workers that explicitly want to use AI.

    Sadly, as with most tech improvements, we’ll see lots of companies run by stupid people try to do stupid things with it. The best we can hope for is that there are opportunities for people to bail and find better job opportunities when their employer says “let’s fire HR and replace with GPT”, only to get absolutely brutalized by legal fees when their AI HR decides to fire someone for a protected reason, or refuses to fire a thief because they have a disability, or something that requires human intervention that doesn’t exist, or one of the hundreds of ways that it could go hilariously wrong.

    It happens all the time. I remember watching solid profitable tech companies pivoting to delivering large apps on the new iPhone app store because “it’s the future”, only to realise that spending two years to develop an office suite for the iPhone 4 was a fucking stupid idea in hindsight. I remember people firing web developers because WYSIWYG editors would mean that you could design and build a website in the same way you create a Word doc. Stupid execs will always do stupid shit, and the world will move on.




  • Totally get that, and from our side that’s at least somewhat clear - if somewhere costs $4k to rent we’ll be paying $4k a month with deposit, bills, etc (assume $5k). Where we’re a little lost is where the “hidden costs” might be. Will health insurance for three people be prohibitively expensive? How much should we budget for my wife and daughter to enjoy their time in NY?





  • While I definitely agree, enough momentum going both ways, alongside perhaps people choosing to leave Mastodon and Threads to go to the “winner of the alternatives” could sway this to a point where BlueSky is no longer the minnow here. Given that we’re only weeks detached from Trump’s win, I can only see it getting worse for Twitter, to the point where I can see Elon just selling it and moving on - perhaps even to BlueSky if Jack wanted a cut price deal.