• chuckleslord@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    2
    ·
    5 days ago

    No, this is incorrect. El Niño weakens Atlantic Hurricanes and strengthens Pacific Hurricanes/Typhoons. We’re in peak hurricane season right now for the Atlantic and we’re only up to E named storms, and there’s only one right now. This is going to be an extraordinarily calm hurricane season.

    • supersquirrel@lemmy.ca
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      5 days ago

      Under status quo conditions yes, but we have passed beyond the point where the status quo pattern matching descriptions we have had about climatic swings are becoming less and less relevant as the system changes.

      It will probably be a relatively calm hurricane season, but we really don’t know anymore just look at sea surface temperatures, we aren’t in the same regime anymore, the oceans are fundamentally changed at a general level in terms of heat exchange and weather interaction.

      One of the least appreciated parts about Climate Change is how the increase in chaos makes some of our prior pattern matching/predictive capacity obsolete and irrelevant because the systems physically become more chaotic and swingey.