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This report is the outcome of the Nordic Council of Minister’s sponsored workshop arranged in October 21-24, 2025 in Helsinki and Rovaniemi, Finland as part of Finland’s council presidency theme resilience. The workshop was in part motivated by the letter to the Nordic Council of Ministers presented in 2024, suggesting larger than previously assumed risk for The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) collapse. The purpose of this report is to summarize the scientific knowledge on the potential impacts of an AMOC collapse, to suggest ways to mitigate and adapt to these impacts, and to provide an outlook on remaining scientific knowledge gaps. This report is not just designed for Nordic policymakers and government officials, but also to provide a broader overview for a wider audience interested in the topic, and for those seeking for practical action points.


Please read the fucking article…
You completely misinterpret their use of 1.5ºC. They use 1.5ºC as a marker because hitting it even once is sufficient to start risking AMOC collapse, with higher temperatures further increasing the chance and the mean time to collapse. As the article points out in section 3, we’re already at 1.4ºC, and we’re going to shoot well past that.
As for your, er, critical re-examination of scientific papers: You don’t seem to be aware that atmospheric methane has a half-life of 10 years, with most methane production coming from the meat and fossil fuel industries that can be stopped.
The nature article’s range of +3ºC to 7ºC assuming zero further emissions is bad enough without you needing to make stuff up.