Trans journalist Erin Reed has published a list of Democratic midterm candidates with anti-trans records, and the question she is forcing is one the party would rather not answer: if trans voters keep rewarding Democrats who harm them, what signal does that send? The calculation is real, the stakes are high, and there is no clean answer.
One of the best responses I’ve heard was from the Professional Left:
https://www.buzzsprout.com/229/episode_players/19814024-ep-1022-the-hearts-of-men?client_source=large_player&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.buzzsprout.com%2F229.js%3Fplayer%3Dlarge
(Starting around the 26:30 mark)
Boils down to: Democrats can be educated, Republicans will destroy you. Quite possibly in the literal sense.